Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.030613 0.032909 0.035307 0.038003 0.040953 0.044087 0.047674
2025-06-01 0.026513 0.029721 0.033247 0.037424 0.042255 0.047689 0.054294
2025-06-08 0.023633 0.027323 0.031533 0.036723 0.042987 0.050352 0.059741
2025-06-15 0.021650 0.025656 0.030370 0.036370 0.043872 0.053029 0.065187
2025-06-22 0.020088 0.024304 0.029393 0.036053 0.044637 0.055462 0.070358
2025-06-29 0.018635 0.022947 0.028266 0.035396 0.044829 0.057070 0.074462
2025-07-06 0.017837 0.022336 0.028004 0.035776 0.046327 0.060408 0.081058
2025-07-13 0.016989 0.021592 0.027498 0.035766 0.047253 0.062978 0.086723
2025-07-20 0.016396 0.021135 0.027326 0.036164 0.048723 0.066351 0.093748
2025-07-27 0.015644 0.020417 0.026750 0.035950 0.049288 0.068432 0.098972
2025-08-03 0.014956 0.019744 0.026190 0.035709 0.049770 0.070387 0.104108
2025-08-10 0.014337 0.019133 0.025677 0.035491 0.050252 0.072339 0.109348
2025-08-17 0.013796 0.018608 0.025265 0.035404 0.050931 0.074650 0.115387
2025-08-24 0.013169 0.017933 0.024605 0.034908 0.050947 0.075915 0.119782
2025-08-31 0.012548 0.017238 0.023881 0.034272 0.050697 0.076718 0.123426
2025-09-07 0.012061 0.016716 0.023383 0.033950 0.050910 0.078268 0.128465
2025-09-14 0.011617 0.016237 0.022925 0.033659 0.051146 0.079851 0.133668
2025-09-21 0.011119 0.015657 0.022290 0.033054 0.050825 0.080459 0.137110
2025-09-28 0.010899 0.015483 0.022259 0.033404 0.052099 0.083871 0.146064
2025-10-05 0.010602 0.015180 0.022017 0.033395 0.052759 0.086239 0.153208
2025-10-12 0.010412 0.015033 0.022006 0.033761 0.054076 0.089851 0.163106
2025-10-19 0.010101 0.014686 0.021668 0.033564 0.054393 0.091657 0.169511
2025-10-26 0.009802 0.014345 0.021326 0.033342 0.054649 0.093354 0.175827